Current Status Bulletin · Tap to share with neighbours
Dauphin Lake Watch
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FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL · WSC PROVISIONAL
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Normal operating range: 853.0 – 854.8 ft Flood stage: 858.0 ft
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dauphinlakewatch.ca
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Threshold Action Guidance — What property owners should do right now
Tributary Early Warning · Basin Feeder Rivers — Water Survey of Canada (Provisional)
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River
Flow (cfs)
Status
7-Day Trend
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Outlet Monitor · Mossy River Dam
Water exits through the Mossy River dam at Terin's Landing. When the lake is high, the river channel itself — not the dam — limits outflow to ~500 cfs. In 2011, inflow peaked at 60,000 cfs. The lake rose.
CURRENT OUTFLOW— cfs
0 cfsrated capacity ~500 cfs600 cfs
Headroom Left
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cfs before capacity
Est. Basin Inflow
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cfs entering lake
Est. Rise Rate
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ft/day at current inflow
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Spring Scenario Tracker · Projected Peak Range
2026 Lake Level vs. Historic Flood Years · Feet ASL, Jan–Jul
Lake at upper elevated tier — climbing under rain-driven inflow. Outlet at season-high 278% of rated. Trajectory tracking the Most Likely projected peak band.
Lake Level — Last 30 Days · Rate of Rise
Live data collection began March 28, 2026. Additional ranges will unlock as the record builds.
Basin Snowpack — Contributing Context
The 2026 season opened with 160–185 mm SWE near Riding Mountain — the highest recorded snowpack in this dataset, exceeding even 2011 and 2014. High-elevation headwaters broke April 14 and ran hard through late April. That water has now passed through the watershed; residual at upper elevations is minor.
Based on HFC field measurements (March 9–12) · Estimated · April 14, 2026
Current Conditions & Outlook · Dauphin, MB
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Watch for: Sustained rain accelerates lake rise on a charged basin. Strong winds can push effective waterline well above gauge readings on the downwind shore. Above-normal temperatures forecast through June 2026 (IRI / all models agree).
Get Flood Alerts · Email & SMS Notifications
Receive an alert the moment the lake crosses a key threshold. One notification per level change — no spam.